Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 13.679473 15.452994 17.459945 19.918178 22.874062 26.347537 30.788636
2025-06-15 11.311719 13.529424 16.250029 19.896758 24.758418 31.171570 40.550026
2025-06-22 9.599314 11.876929 14.810732 18.972262 24.908331 33.387097 47.064370
2025-06-29 8.338818 10.573098 13.555698 17.970133 24.604961 34.705451 52.396077
2025-07-06 7.472139 9.668939 12.690711 17.328898 24.627210 36.396449 58.668576
2025-07-13 7.516245 10.001631 13.565608 19.326204 29.018254 46.069567 82.560408
2025-07-20 7.200901 9.776723 13.583971 19.979278 31.305739 52.662815 103.355219
2025-07-27 6.661017 9.166016 12.944839 19.461787 31.425012 55.135760 115.972744
2025-08-03 6.435070 9.004333 12.980397 20.071157 33.707714 62.594188 145.229447
2025-08-10 6.059971 8.579320 12.549042 19.800290 34.227041 66.351519 166.463028
2025-08-17 5.728357 8.196639 12.150518 19.534814 34.702565 70.138583 190.472717
2025-08-24 5.452726 7.882887 11.838498 19.388663 35.398307 74.679456 220.849574
2025-08-31 5.112562 7.455483 11.321149 18.838432 35.224593 77.216373 247.292096
2025-09-07 4.885272 7.199487 11.081532 18.806267 36.237051 83.467300 297.865809
2025-09-14 4.554646 6.749967 10.465288 17.950456 35.162505 83.272153 316.655483
2025-09-21 4.241155 6.312433 9.841729 17.020520 33.772518 81.758804 327.446822
2025-09-28 4.000921 5.986807 9.399426 16.424792 33.126454 82.496465 353.943303
2025-10-05 4.112354 6.268263 10.083899 18.278507 39.106607 108.320802 616.538721
2025-10-12 4.049201 6.240065 10.186590 18.883471 41.930754 124.615387 876.281616
2025-10-19 3.861455 5.980090 9.826965 18.404148 41.576443 127.782930 1002.027881
2025-10-26 3.805186 5.952484 9.915513 18.968539 44.435997 146.898851 1490.685584
2025-11-02 3.663614 5.762378 9.670420 18.717725 44.750639 154.313852 1846.102147
2025-11-09 3.531719 5.583678 9.436939 18.471810 45.042131 161.945463 2310.495696